From: BigJimK@aol.com
Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 02:42:23 -0500 (EST)
Subject: Some Maven stuff
Message-id: <980120024223_-399097750@mrin39.mx>
Here are the results of two 1-move sims, 5000 iterations each, on the OFT play:
OFT 42.6 42.4 LOFTY 38.1 38.3 FEOD 36.9 36.0 DEFT 35.6 35.2 FLYTED 34.3 33.5 EFT 33.7 -- FEODS 32.2 31.3 DEFTLY 31.6 30.9 DELFT 31.6 30.8 LEFTY 31.5 --I also did ten separate 1-move simulations of 2500 iterations each of DEFIOSY as an opening rack. This might help those who want to gauge how stable these simulations are.
FOY 38.6 38.3 38.5 38.9 38.2 39.3 38.9 38.5 38.7 39.7 EDIFY 38.8 39.2 39.3 40.2 39.0 39.7 38.4 38.3 39.3 39.6
FOY's results varied by as much as 1.5 and EDIFY's by as much as 1.9. In general, when one move was higher or lower than usual, so was the other. The comparative result varied by as much as 1.8 (from FOY by .5 to EDIFY by 1.3).
Of course, the fact that sims stabilize to whatever degree at whatever number of iterations does not mean that they are the final representation of the true value of a play in any given position.
Use this information at your own risk, and ignore it at your own peril. (If you want real answers, take up chess.) :-)
Thanks to Robert Felt for some related input on this matter.
All the best,
Jim Kramer